Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Alarcos Ciudad Real		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.72	8	2.45
	1.71	8.7	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)	8.35 ↓ (8.45)	2.54 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alarcos Ciudad Real
53.1%

Draw
10.9%

Burgos
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

10.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

9.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alarcos Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alarcos Ciudad Real's form might have worsened.

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alarcos Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alarcos Ciudad Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alarcos Ciudad Real - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

#ad

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alarcos Ciudad Real will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alarcos Ciudad Real won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Alarcos Ciudad Real
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.04.21	Atlético Novás - Alarcos Ciudad Real	30:29 ✺
10.04.21	Alarcos Ciudad Real - Eivissa	28:23 ✺
03.04.21	EÓN Alicante - Alarcos Ciudad Real	24:26 ✺
27.03.21	Alarcos Ciudad Real - Barcelona II	28:32 ✺
21.03.21	Burgos - Alarcos Ciudad Real	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.04.21	Burgos - Alcobendas	37:30 ✺
10.04.21	Torrelavega - Burgos	37:31 ✺
04.04.21	Burgos - Antequera	29:32 ✺
27.03.21	Cordoba - Burgos	28:28 ✺
21.03.21	Burgos - Alarcos Ciudad Real	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
21.03.21	Burgos - Alarcos Ciudad Real	28:25

Upcoming Matches