Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Barcelona II		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.26	7.2	1.94
	2.27	6.79	1.93	Watch
	2.21	8.5	1.91
	2.25	8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)	7.62 ↓ (9.2)	1.91 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona II
40.4%

Draw
11.9%

Burgos
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

9.9%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

9.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona II's form might have worsened.

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona II than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Barcelona II - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona II won 1.

In recent matches, Barcelona II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burgos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barcelona II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barcelona II won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 360:360. (average 32.7:32.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 176:169. (average 35.2:33.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Burgos	3	2	1	0	98:83	5
8	Barcelona II	4	2	0	2	136:135	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Handball II
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
25.04.26	Cisne - Barcelona II	29:38 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	Barcelona II - Atlético Valladolid	29:32 ✺
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.04.26	Barcelona II - Alser Puerto Sagunto	26:25 ✺
12.04.26	Anaitasuna - Barcelona II	33:30 ✺
28.03.26	Barcelona II - Alcobendas	39:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
26.04.26	Burgos - Eivissa	23:22 ✺
18.04.26	Soria - Burgos	28:31 ✺
15.04.26	Benidorm - Burgos	26:26 ✺
11.04.26	Burgos - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	34:25 ✺
28.03.26	Oviedo - Burgos	24:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
14.12.25	Burgos - Barcelona II	32:29
05.04.25	Barcelona II - Burgos	30:30
24.11.24	Burgos - Barcelona II	31:33
27.01.24	Barcelona II - Burgos	30:30
24.09.23	Burgos - Barcelona II	27:27
06.05.23	Barcelona II - Burgos	36:34
26.03.23	Burgos - Barcelona II	33:29

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