Match Info

PORTUGAL: 1A DIVISAO WOMEN - ROUND 10

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	Alavarium-Love Tiles		Madeira

	1	X	2
	2	8.7	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.43)	8.7 ↑ (8.5)	2.09 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavarium-Love Tiles
45.7%

Draw
10.5%

Madeira
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

10.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

11%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavarium-Love Tiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavarium-Love Tiles's form might have worsened.

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madeira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavarium-Love Tiles than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavarium-Love Tiles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Alavarium Love Tiles - Madeira Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alavarium will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Madeira will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Madeira: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Preview

Alavarium is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Madeira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Madeira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alavarium have a series of guest games.

In this match Alavarium is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alavarium won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 69-64.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavarium won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 69-64.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alavarium-Love Tiles
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
08.12.22	ABC Braga - Alavarium-Love Tiles	26:36 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
03.12.22	Jarosław - Alavarium-Love Tiles	44:21 ✺
02.12.22	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Jarosław	26:36 ✺
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
27.11.22	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Alavarium-Love Tiles	27:26 ✺
26.11.22	Benfica - Alavarium-Love Tiles	44:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLL
- CS Madeira Handball Women
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
03.12.22	Madeira - Gil Eanes	25:23 ✺
26.11.22	Academia São Pedro do Sul - Madeira	33:25 ✺
19.11.22	Maiastars - Madeira	23:28 ✺
13.11.22	Madeira - Colegio de Gaia	27:27 ✺
12.11.22	Madeira - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	18:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
27.03.22	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Madeira	21:20
03.04.21	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Madeira	26:19
26.03.17	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Madeira	22:25

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