Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 29

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Alcobendas		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	3.07	8.8	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	8.8 ↑ (8.2)	1.53 (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcobendas
29.8%

Draw
10.4%

Villa de Aranda
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

11.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

11%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcobendas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The chances for Villa de Aranda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcobendas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcobendas won 2.

Recent matches Alcobendas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa de Aranda is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Villa de Aranda is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Villa de Aranda to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alcobendas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 220-226.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcobendas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 97-85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Alcobendas
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.04.24	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Alcobendas	23:18 ✺
20.04.24	Alcobendas - Zamora	29:32 ✺
13.04.24	Agustinos Alicante - Alcobendas	29:30 ✺
06.04.24	Alcobendas - Cisne	28:31 ✺
23.03.24	Barcelona II - Alcobendas	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLW
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.04.24	Villa de Aranda - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:21 ✺
20.04.24	Villa de Aranda - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	28:23 ✺
14.04.24	Zamora - Villa de Aranda	23:25 ✺
06.04.24	Villa de Aranda - Agustinos Alicante	30:25 ✺
23.03.24	Cisne - Villa de Aranda	25:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
16.12.23	Villa de Aranda - Alcobendas	26:25
04.03.23	Alcobendas - Villa de Aranda	29:28
26.11.22	Villa de Aranda - Alcobendas	29:21
19.02.22	Villa de Aranda - Alcobendas	28:25
27.11.21	Alcobendas - Villa de Aranda	34:31
16.11.19	Villa de Aranda - Alcobendas	28:20
17.02.18	Villa de Aranda - Alcobendas	30:32

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