The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa de Aranda 82.4%
Draw 3.6%
Agustinos Alicante 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
10.2%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.2%
9.7%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa de Aranda's performance.
Agustinos Alicante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agustinos Alicante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa de Aranda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agustinos Alicante than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agustinos Alicante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Villa de Aranda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Agustinos Alicante is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Agustinos Alicante have a series of home games.
In this match Villa de Aranda is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 136-139.
Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Aranda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 60-62.
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