Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Round 22

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pabellón Municipal Internúcleos (Sagunto)


	Alser Puerto Sagunto		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.03	7	2.15
	2.03	6.74	2.16	Watch
	2.01	8.5	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.03)	7.41 ↑ (6.74)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alser Puerto Sagunto
45%

Draw
12.3%

Burgos
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

13.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

12.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alser Puerto Sagunto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alser Puerto Sagunto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Sagunto won 2.

Puerto Sagunto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Puerto Sagunto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 198:211. (average 28.3:30.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Sagunto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 86:97. (average 28.7:32.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Burgos	3	2	1	0	98:83	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alser Puerto Sagunto
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
21.02.26	Cisne - Alser Puerto Sagunto	21:19 ✺
07.02.26	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Anaitasuna	25:24 ✺
31.01.26	Alcobendas - Alser Puerto Sagunto	26:27 ✺
28.01.26	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Benidorm	26:23 ✺
24.01.26	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Zaragoza	34:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
22.02.26	Burgos - Anaitasuna	22:21 ✺
14.02.26	Alcobendas - Burgos	30:29 ✺
08.02.26	Burgos - Zaragoza	37:32 ✺
31.01.26	Proin - Burgos	28:23 ✺
25.01.26	Burgos - OAR Coruña	24:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
26.10.25	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	28:28
15.02.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	19:31
13.10.24	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	26:23
14.05.23	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	26:29
01.04.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	34:31
14.05.22	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	33:35
03.04.22	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	34:32

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