The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amenabar Zarautz 45.6%
Draw 11%
Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
10.1%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
10.4%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amenabar Zarautz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amenabar Zarautz's performance.
Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amenabar Zarautz than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amenabar Zarautz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Amenabar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Malaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Amenabar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 118:130 (average 23.6:26).
Including matches at home between the teams Amenabar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 45:44 (average 22.5:22).