Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 22

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Pabellón Anaitasuna (Pamplona)


	Anaitasuna		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	3.4	8.5	1.55
	3.1	9.75	1.53
	3.25	9	1.47
	3.33	8.29	1.54	Watch
	3.2	9.5	1.44
	3.16	8.7	1.55	Watch
	3.25	9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	8.96 ↑ (8.73)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anaitasuna
28.5%

Draw
10.3%

Naturhouse La Rioja
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

10.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

10.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anaitasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Anaitasuna - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Lineups


30. Albizu A.	34. Cadarso D.
35. Castro P.	9. El Korchi I.
13. Duo A.	4. Fernandez J. L.
23. Echavarri A. O.	29. Garcia J.
44. Elustondo J.	10. Modi A.
7. Ganuza M.	33. Pergel A.
15. Goni E.	13. Ponciano T.
24. Itoiz P.	7. Preciado A.
33. Kisselev O.	5. Rivero A.
8. Moreno A.	22. Tua X.
11. Pereiro S.	23. Urios Gonzales R.
19. Redondo Vera M.	14. Zaja E. J.
18. Unciti X.	8. Zarzuela O.
91. Zungri N.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anaitasuna won 2.

Recent matches Anaitasuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Rioja is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anaitasuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Rioja is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Anaitasuna won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 569:608 (average 28.5:30.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Anaitasuna won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 275:279 (average 30.6:31).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
23.03.25	Atlético Valladolid - Anaitasuna	34:26 ✺
09.03.25	Anaitasuna - BM Ciudad Encantada	33:26 ✺
02.03.25	Anaitasuna - Benidorm	30:29 ✺
22.02.25	BM Granollers - Anaitasuna	36:31 ✺
16.02.25	Anaitasuna - Quabit Guadalajara	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.03.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Benidorm	34:30 ✺
19.03.25	Torrelavega - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:41 ✺
09.03.25	BM Granollers - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:27 ✺
01.03.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	39:32 ✺
22.02.25	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.10.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Anaitasuna	32:28
27.04.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Anaitasuna	32:25
25.11.23	Anaitasuna - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:36
27.05.23	Anaitasuna - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:27
04.12.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - Anaitasuna	22:26
21.05.22	Anaitasuna - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:29
04.12.21	Naturhouse La Rioja - Anaitasuna	28:24

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