Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 28

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Pabellón Anaitasuna (Pamplona)


	Anaitasuna		Reale Ademar

	1	X	2
	2.8	8	1.7
	3	8.5	1.59
	2.75	7.8	1.65
	2.8	7.98	1.7	Watch
	2.7	7.5	1.67
	2.81	8	1.68	Watch
	2.75	7.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)	7.94 ↑ (7.83)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anaitasuna
32.9%

Draw
11.6%

Reale Ademar
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

11.7%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

12.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anaitasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Reale Ademar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reale Ademar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ademar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Lineups


30. Albizu A.	4. Alvarez C.
35. Castro P.	37. Alvaro F. A.
13. Duo A.	73. Benites R.
44. Elustondo J.	13. Doval R.
7. Ganuza M.	9. Fernandez A.
15. Goni E.	66. Fernandez E.
24. Itoiz P.	2. Lindqvist O.
33. Kisselev O.	21. Llamazares R.
8. Moreno A.	33. Martin A.
61. Moreno M.	3. Minabres J.
11. Pereiro S.	24. Mohamed M.
19. Redondo Vera M.	8. Sanz D.
18. Unciti X.	7. Wasiak P.
91. Zungri N.	17. Zapico A.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga ASOBAL (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anaitasuna won 1.

Anaitasuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ademar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ademar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anaitasuna won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 554:575. (average 27.7:28.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Anaitasuna won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 254:246. (average 28.2:27.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.05.25	Bidasoa Irun - Anaitasuna	30:29 ✺
27.04.25	Anaitasuna - BM Huesca	26:24 ✺
18.04.25	Barcelona - Anaitasuna	39:25 ✺
11.04.25	Anaitasuna - Villa de Aranda	22:32 ✺
05.04.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Anaitasuna	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.05.25	Reale Ademar - Benidorm	27:23 ✺
27.04.25	BM Granollers - Reale Ademar	30:30 ✺
20.04.25	Reale Ademar - Quabit Guadalajara	31:25 ✺
13.04.25	Nava - Reale Ademar	32:27 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
08.04.25	Morrazo Cangas - Reale Ademar	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.12.24	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	26:25
23.02.24	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	38:23
01.10.23	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	28:25
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
15.03.23	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	27:28
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.02.23	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	32:31
17.09.22	Anaitasuna - Reale Ademar	29:27
14.05.22	Reale Ademar - Anaitasuna	34:33

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