Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 18

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Antequera		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.75	8	2.57
	1.76	8.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.51)	8.2 ↑ (8)	2.61 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
53%

Draw
11.3%

Villa de Aranda
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

11.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

12%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antequera's form might have worsened.

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa de Aranda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa de Aranda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Antequera - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Preview

Antequera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa de Aranda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Antequera is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Villa de Aranda to win the game is with odds 3.26.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Antequera won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 134-125.

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 48-46.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Antequera
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.01.24	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Antequera	24:23 ✺
20.01.24	Antequera - Zamora	26:26 ✺
13.01.24	Antequera - Agustinos Alicante	21:26 ✺
16.12.23	Cisne - Antequera	27:22 ✺
09.12.23	Antequera - Barcelona II	31:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.01.24	Villa de Aranda - EÓN Alicante	29:22 ✺
20.01.24	Mallorca - Villa de Aranda	21:29 ✺
13.01.24	Eivissa - Villa de Aranda	26:29 ✺
16.12.23	Villa de Aranda - Alcobendas	26:25 ✺
10.12.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Villa de Aranda	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
30.09.23	Villa de Aranda - Antequera	27:31
07.03.20	Villa de Aranda - Antequera	25:26
26.10.19	Antequera - Villa de Aranda	21:20
18.05.19	Villa de Aranda - Antequera	27:29
19.01.19	Antequera - Villa de Aranda	27:26

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