Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Kungsbacka Sporthall (Kungsbacka)


	Aranäs		Drott

	1	X	2
	1.37	11	3.9
	1.36	8.24	4.1	Watch
	1.4	9	3.5
	1.39	9.8	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	9.51 ↑ (8.75)	3.82 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aranäs
66.4%

Draw
9.6%

Drott
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

10.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

10.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aranäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Drott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aranäs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drott than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Aranäs - Drott Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Drott may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aranäs is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 186:169. (average 31:28.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aranäs won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 91:74. (average 30.3:24.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Aranas	4	1	1	2	128:130	3
8	Drott	3	1	1	1	82:86	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aranäs
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
21.02.26	Varberg - Aranäs	25:25 ✺
14.02.26	Aranäs - Enköping	38:30 ✺
08.02.26	Aranäs - H43 Lund	31:29 ✺
04.02.26	Aranäs - Skånela	25:30 ✺
18.01.26	Tumba - Aranäs	36:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLL
- HK Drott Halmstad
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
25.02.26	IFK Ystad - Drott	37:34 ✺
20.02.26	Drott - Vinslovs	22:30 ✺
15.02.26	Redbergslids - Drott	35:27 ✺
07.02.26	Drott - Tyresö	37:35 ✺
31.01.26	Tumba - Drott	32:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
27.09.25	Drott - Aranäs	31:31
23.02.25	Drott - Aranäs	34:31
23.11.24	Aranäs - Drott	28:22
Swedish Elitserien Handball
19.02.16	Aranäs - Drott	24:24
02.12.15	Drott - Aranäs	30:33
04.10.15	Aranäs - Drott	39:28

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