Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Kungsbacka Sporthall (Kungsbacka)


	Aranäs		IFK Ystad

	1	X	2
	1.62	8.2	2.9
	1.61	7.85	2.84
	1.57	8	2.75
	1.64	9	2.75
	1.66	8.6	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	8.33 ↓ (8.6)	2.77 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aranäs
56.2%

Draw
10.9%

IFK Ystad
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

10.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

10.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aranäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

IFK Ystad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Ystad than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Aranäs - IFK Ystad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 2.

Aranäs is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

IFK Ystad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aranäs is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Aranäs will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 215:225. (average 26.9:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aranäs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 92:82. (average 30.7:27.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	IFK Ystads	4	4	0	0	125:95	8
7	Aranas	4	1	1	2	128:130	3

Last Results with these Odds

IFK Ystad - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aranäs
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
04.03.26	Torslanda - Aranäs	37:37 ✺
28.02.26	Aranäs - Drott	34:31 ✺
21.02.26	Varberg - Aranäs	25:25 ✺
14.02.26	Aranäs - Enköping	38:30 ✺
08.02.26	Aranäs - H43 Lund	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTWW
- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
06.03.26	IFK Ystad - Kroppskultur	25:30 ✺
01.03.26	Tumba - IFK Ystad	35:25 ✺
25.02.26	IFK Ystad - Drott	37:34 ✺
22.02.26	IFK Ystad - Redbergslids	38:33 ✺
13.02.26	Vinslovs - IFK Ystad	33:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
27.12.25	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	36:25
26.12.24	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	32:26
07.12.24	Aranäs - IFK Ystad	41:32
Swedish Elitserien Handball
13.02.22	Aranäs - IFK Ystad	25:22
10.11.21	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	26:26
26.02.21	Aranäs - IFK Ystad	26:28
24.09.20	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	27:20

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