Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Tumba		IFK Ystad

	1	X	2
	2.3	7.4	1.96
	2.32	6.81	1.92
	2.2	7.5	1.91
	2.13	8.6	1.97
	1.87	8.6	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)	7.78 ↓ (8.33)	2.02 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tumba
42.5%

Draw
11.8%

IFK Ystad
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

10.9%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

10.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tumba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tumba's form might have worsened.

IFK Ystad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Ystad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tumba than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Ystad than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

Recent form of Tumba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

IFK Ystad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tumba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tumba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 147:160. (average 29.4:32).

Including home matches between the teams, Tumba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 60:60. (average 30:30).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	IFK Ystads	4	4	0	0	125:95	8
6	Tumba	3	1	1	1	87:84	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Tumba Handboll
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
22.02.26	Lugi - Tumba	29:28 ✺
15.02.26	Tumba - Torslanda	32:33 ✺
07.02.26	Enköping - Tumba	23:37 ✺
31.01.26	Tumba - Drott	32:38 ✺
26.01.26	H43 Lund - Tumba	38:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
25.02.26	IFK Ystad - Drott	37:34 ✺
22.02.26	IFK Ystad - Redbergslids	38:33 ✺
13.02.26	Vinslovs - IFK Ystad	33:33 ✺
07.02.26	Lugi - IFK Ystad	27:26 ✺
31.01.26	IFK Ystad - Torslanda	25:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
15.11.25	IFK Ystad - Tumba	31:31
22.12.24	Tumba - IFK Ystad	35:29
02.11.24	IFK Ystad - Tumba	38:33
07.01.18	IFK Ystad - Tumba	31:23
03.12.17	Tumba - IFK Ystad	25:31

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