Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kungsbacka Sporthall (Kungsbacka)


	Aranäs		Lugi

	1	X	2
	1.95	7.6	2.29
	2.01	6.88	2.19	Watch
	1.83	7.5	2.25
	1.9	8.7	2.21
	1.83	8.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	7.84 ↓ (8.5)	2.25 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aranäs
47.8%

Draw
11.6%

Lugi
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

10.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

10.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aranäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lugi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 2.

Aranäs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lugi is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lugi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aranäs could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Aranäs will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 440:487. (average 27.5:30.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aranäs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 245:278. (average 27.2:30.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aranäs
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
09.12.25	Aranäs - Kroppskultur	36:35 ✺
05.12.25	Kroppskultur - Aranäs	29:27 ✺
29.11.25	H43 Lund - Aranäs	34:38 ✺
22.11.25	Vinslovs - Aranäs	33:35 ✺
13.11.25	Aranäs - Torslanda	34:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW
- Lugi HF
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
07.12.25	Lugi - Tyresö	44:27 ✺
29.11.25	IFK Ystad - Lugi	23:35 ✺
23.11.25	Lugi - Drott	38:33 ✺
16.11.25	Lugi - Vinslovs	40:31 ✺
08.11.25	Enköping - Lugi	31:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
31.01.25	Aranäs - Lugi	33:32
19.10.24	Lugi - Aranäs	34:27
Swedish Elitserien Handball
25.02.24	Lugi - Aranäs	25:26
13.10.23	Aranäs - Lugi	21:30
19.12.22	Aranäs - Lugi	29:31
15.11.22	Lugi - Aranäs	32:37
27.02.22	Lugi - Aranäs	32:24

Upcoming Matches