Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Aranäs		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.85	7	2.5
	1.91	8	2.3
	1.86	8.29	2.37
	1.75	7.5	2.38
	1.92	7.9	2.33	Watch
	1.86	7.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.78)	7.68 ↑ (7.06)	2.39 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aranäs
49.5%

Draw
12%

Malmö
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

13%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

12.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aranäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Aranäs - Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Lineups


9. Beck Jorgensen M.	2. Blomqvist M.
33. Bols P.	90. Grotta T.
23. Donaldson P.	36. Hakansson E.
3. Ericsson J.	7. Hilding T.
4. Helgesson J.	17. Johansson A.
16. Johansson M.	14. Lundh W.
24. Ladan R.	24. Nygren H.
2. Lindqvist O.	28. Olsson A.
17. Lindvall A.	13. Palmqvist E.
14. Ljungmark T.	10. Persson M.
6. Nyman R.	4. Santos M.
26. Pedersen M.	18. Schnell C.
15. Rhodin V.	27. Stuivers H.
13. Svensson A.	22. Sundewall L.
11. Wallin J.	9. Tumba A.
	12. Zetterlund K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aranäs won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Aranäs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Aranäs won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 310-409.

Including matches at home between the teams Aranäs won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 140-161.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aranäs
Swedish Elitserien Handball
25.03.24	Eskilstuna Guif - Aranäs	28:32 ✺
20.03.24	Aranäs - Amo HK	27:28 ✺
08.03.24	Aranäs - Sävehof	37:37 ✺
04.03.24	Önnereds - Aranäs	36:25 ✺
28.02.24	Aranäs - Hallby	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTLT
- HK Malmö
Swedish Elitserien Handball
25.03.24	Malmö - Skövde	21:23 ✺
20.03.24	Alingsås - Malmö	31:25 ✺
03.03.24	Malmö - HF Karlskrona	28:22 ✺
28.02.24	Lugi - Malmö	27:29 ✺
24.02.24	Kristianstad - Malmö	29:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
20.10.23	Malmö - Aranäs	23:20
30.12.22	Aranäs - Malmö	25:29
06.11.22	Malmö - Aranäs	35:28
16.02.22	Malmö - Aranäs	32:25
17.10.21	Aranäs - Malmö	21:26
28.01.21	Aranäs - Malmö	26:32
24.11.20	Malmö - Aranäs	32:19

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