The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burgos 59.3%
Draw 9.9%
Quabit Guadalajara 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
9.9%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
10.1%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.
Quabit Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quabit Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quabit Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quabit Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.
Burgos has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guadalajara has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Burgos has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 190:193 (averaging 27.1:27.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Burgos against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 110:103 goals (averaging 27.5:25.8 per game).
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