Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Bayer Dormagen		TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen

	1	X	2
	1.44	8.75	3.40
	1.7	8.5	2.51
	1.71	7.4	2.63	Watch
	1.68	7.9	2.5
	1.67	9	2.67
	1.68	8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	8.26 ↑ (7.55)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Dormagen
55.3%

Draw
11%

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

12.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

13.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Dormagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Dormagen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Dormagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Bayer Dormagen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer Dormagen won 1.

In recent outings, Bayer Dormagen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Friesenheim has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bayer Dormagen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bayer Dormagen holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Bayer Dormagen has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 323:353 (averaging 26.9:29.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayer Dormagen against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 159:164 goals (averaging 26.5:27.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Dormagen	6	2	0	4	167:191	4
15	Ludwigshafen	7	2	0	5	186:206	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Dormagen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
27.09.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Bayer Dormagen	26:27 ✺
18.09.26	Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen	28:26 ✺
12.09.26	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Bayer Dormagen	29:25 ✺
05.09.26	Lübeck-Schwartau - Bayer Dormagen	42:31 ✺
30.08.26	Bayer Dormagen - Elbflorenz	31:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLL
- TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
30.09.26	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Nordhorn-Lingen	29:33 ✺
19.09.26	Potsdam - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	23:19 ✺
11.09.26	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Großwallstadt	31:30 ✺
04.09.26	Dessau-Roßlauer - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	31:29 ✺
29.08.26	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Ferndorf	27:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
04.03.26	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bayer Dormagen	37:33
20.09.25	Bayer Dormagen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	24:26
01.06.25	Bayer Dormagen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	35:28
21.12.24	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bayer Dormagen	36:28
09.04.24	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bayer Dormagen	30:27
11.11.23	Bayer Dormagen - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	29:33
03.05.23	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bayer Dormagen	35:30

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