Match Info

Andebol 1 - Round 17

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday


	Benfica		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	1.85	8	2.3
				Watch
	1.01	20	15
	1.01	21	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)	16.33 ↑ (13.5)	10.77 ↑ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
83.4%

Draw
6.6%

Vitoria Guimarães
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

8.3%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

4.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-39.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:26

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vitoria Guimarães has had a series of away games.

In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 180:124. (average 36:24.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 72:47. (average 36:23.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
13.12.25	Avanca - Benfica	25:34 ✺
09.12.25	Benfica - Póvoa	31:22 ✺
06.12.25	Colegio de Gaia - Benfica	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Benfica - MT Melsungen	26:30 ✺
25.11.25	Ferencváros - Benfica	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WWTLL
- Vitoria Guimarães Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
10.12.25	Águas Santas - Vitoria Guimarães	32:26 ✺
06.12.25	Arsenal Andebol - Vitoria Guimarães	24:26 ✺
29.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Avanca	28:26 ✺
22.11.25	Póvoa - Vitoria Guimarães	34:29 ✺
15.11.25	Colegio de Gaia - Vitoria Guimarães	30:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
04.10.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	31:32
30.11.24	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	36:24
14.09.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	27:41
20.12.23	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	36:23
30.09.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	19:35

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