Match Info

Andebol 1 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Vitoria Guimarães		Avanca

	1	X	2
	1.47	8.2	3.4	Watch
	1.48	7.74	3.4	Watch
	1.51	9.2	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	8.38 ↑ (8.01)	3.33 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
61.6%

Draw
10.9%

Avanca
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

11.3%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

11%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Avanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avanca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Vitoria Guimarães - Avanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitoria Guimarães won 2.

Recent performances by Vitoria Guimarães have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Avanca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Vitoria Guimarães is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vitoria Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 253:255. (average 28.1:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitoria Guimarães won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 145:142. (average 29:28.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Vitoria SC	8	3	0	5	228:276	14
12	Avanca	7	1	0	6	175:241	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arsenal Andebol	33:27 ✺
07.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Colegio de Gaia	28:29 ✺
01.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	40:27 ✺
25.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo	26:28 ✺
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Belenenses	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- AA Avanca
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.03.26	Avanca - Colegio de Gaia	26:21 ✺
14.03.26	Avanca - Porto	30:41 ✺
07.03.26	Avanca - Póvoa	23:27 ✺
28.02.26	Colegio de Gaia - Avanca	28:28 ✺
22.02.26	Avanca - Sporting Lisbon	30:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
29.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Avanca	28:26
13.09.25	Avanca - Vitoria Guimarães	34:33
Taca de Portugal Handball
18.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Avanca	32:34
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Avanca	30:28
12.10.24	Avanca - Vitoria Guimarães	29:29
18.05.24	Avanca - Vitoria Guimarães	27:22
20.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Avanca	28:27

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