Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Uni-Halle (Wuppertal)


	Bergischer		HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

	1	X	2
	1.4	11	3.6
	1.31	10	4.2
	1.41	9.8	3.86	Watch
	1.33	10	4
	1.34	10	4.02
	1.31	10	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	10.13 ↑ (8.56)	3.98 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
67.9%

Draw
9%

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

10.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

10.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bergischer's performance.

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergischer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBW Balingen-Weilstetten than the current prediction. (+4%)

Bergischer - HBW Balingen Weilstetten Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 57.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Lineups


19. Babak T.	23. Dyatlov D.
14. Babarskas G.	24. Fugel E.
20. Belal Ibrahim	18. Gruner T.
2. Beyer N.	28. Heinzelmann T.
16. Diedrich L.	7. Huber E.
18. Fraatz Y.	10. Ingason D.
46. Fuchs J.	1. Kornecki M.
7. Giesselmann P.	5. Leimeter C.
11. M'Bengue D.	4. Matthes T.
33. Morante E.	21. Muller J.
1. Rudeck C.	12. Nagy B.
44. Santos I.	30. Pfattheicher S.
4. Scholtes E.	14. Santos M.
49. Seesing A.	25. Schuler M.
17. Vidarsson A.	11. Strobel B.
77. Wasielewski J.	19. Timmermeister R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bergischer won 2.

Bergischer in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Balingen-Weilstetten is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bergischer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bergischer is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bergischer to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Bergischer won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 484:466 (average 25.5:24.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bergischer won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 216:199 (average 24:22.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
19.04.25	Hamm-Westfalen - Bergischer	20:27 ✺
05.04.25	Elbflorenz - Bergischer	22:30 ✺
31.03.25	Bergischer - Großwallstadt	36:23 ✺
26.03.25	Konstanz - Bergischer	28:35 ✺
23.03.25	Bergischer - Hüttenberg	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
19.04.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Eintracht Hagen	38:31 ✺
German DHB Pokal
13.04.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	31:32 ✺
12.04.25	MT Melsungen - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	31:27 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
05.04.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	21:18 ✺
29.03.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
01.11.24	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Bergischer	26:26
German Bundesliga Handball
19.04.24	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Bergischer	21:25
01.09.23	Bergischer - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	27:28
28.04.22	Bergischer - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	29:21
14.11.21	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Bergischer	30:28
22.05.21	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Bergischer	27:25
21.02.21	Bergischer - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	30:22

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