Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: BallsportArena (Dresden)


	Elbflorenz		Bergischer

	1	X	2
	2.54	8.25	1.78
	2.03	7.8	2.09
	2.15	8.34	2.05	Watch
	2.45	8.5	1.75
	2.11	7.6	2.01
	2.03	7.8	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.46)	8.05 ↓ (8.97)	1.96 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elbflorenz
41.6%

Draw
11.5%

Bergischer
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

10.2%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

11%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elbflorenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Bergischer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergischer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elbflorenz than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Elbflorenz - Bergischer Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elbflorenz will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Bergischer will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elbflorenz: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elbflorenz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

#ad

Lineups


77. Cantegrel R.	19. Babak T.
9. Dierberg J.	14. Babarskas G.
34. Dobler J.	12. Babic R.
13. Dumcius M.	20. Belal Ibrahim
35. Dutschke J.	2. Beyer N.
25. Gress S.	16. Diedrich L.
10. Klepp V.	18. Fraatz Y.
55. Loser T.	46. Fuchs J.
1. Mallwitz M.	7. Giesselmann P.
11. Pehlivan D.	22. Gislason T. T.
48. Possehl J.	13. Granlund R.
71. Seidler O.	11. M'Bengue D.
23. Stavast I.	33. Morante E.
28. Stoyke T.	1. Rudeck C.
46. Thummler J.	4. Scholtes E.
5. Wucherpfennig L.	49. Seesing A.
	6. Servos S.
	17. Vidarsson A.
	77. Wasielewski J.
	10. Wolfram M.

Preview

Elbflorenz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergischer in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbflorenz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 129:150 (average 25.8:30).

Including matches at home between the teams Elbflorenz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 75:92 (average 25:30.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Elbflorenz - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Elbflorenz
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
30.03.25	Ferndorf - Elbflorenz	24:21 ✺
26.03.25	Elbflorenz - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:25 ✺
22.03.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - Elbflorenz	33:33 ✺
09.03.25	Elbflorenz - Eintracht Hagen	24:36 ✺
28.02.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Elbflorenz	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWTLL
- Bergischer HC 06
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
31.03.25	Bergischer - Großwallstadt	36:23 ✺
26.03.25	Konstanz - Bergischer	28:35 ✺
23.03.25	Bergischer - Hüttenberg	32:27 ✺
07.03.25	GWD Minden - Bergischer	27:32 ✺
02.03.25	Bergischer - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	38:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
27.10.24	Bergischer - Elbflorenz	32:31
German DHB Pokal
02.10.24	Elbflorenz - Bergischer	32:36
18.08.19	Elbflorenz - Bergischer	22:28
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
26.12.17	Elbflorenz - Bergischer	21:28
26.08.17	Bergischer - Elbflorenz	26:23

Upcoming Matches