Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Bergischer		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.05	7.5	2.25
	1.95	7.6	2.19
	1.94	6.95	2.31	Watch
	1.91	7	2.2
	1.94	8.8	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.37)	7.57 ↓ (8.63)	2.22 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
46.7%

Draw
12.1%

Stuttgart
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

10.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

9.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bergischer's performance.

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stuttgart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Bergischer - Stuttgart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bergischer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 435:442. (average 27.2:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergischer won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 190:194. (average 27.1:27.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Stuttgart	8	4	1	3	244:241	9
16	Bergischer	7	1	0	6	197:223	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German Bundesliga Handball
02.04.26	Bergischer - Gummersbach	30:39 ✺
26.03.26	HSV Hamburg - Bergischer	34:35 ✺
15.03.26	Bergischer - Magdeburg	25:27 ✺
08.03.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Bergischer	28:25 ✺
01.03.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Bergischer	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWLLW
- TVB 1898 Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Handball
02.04.26	HSG Wetzlar - Stuttgart	31:31 ✺
29.03.26	Stuttgart - TBV Lemgo	32:32 ✺
15.03.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Stuttgart	29:29 ✺
05.03.26	Stuttgart - THW Kiel	32:27 ✺
01.03.26	GWD Minden - Stuttgart	32:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
06.09.25	Stuttgart - Bergischer	35:28
28.03.24	Stuttgart - Bergischer	27:26
10.12.23	Bergischer - Stuttgart	33:28
26.02.23	Bergischer - Stuttgart	25:26
02.10.22	Stuttgart - Bergischer	27:26
26.02.22	Stuttgart - Bergischer	27:26
23.09.21	Bergischer - Stuttgart	26:25

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