Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Stuttgart		TBV Lemgo

	1	X	2
	2.25	7.50	2.05
	2.20	6.75	1.98
	2.18	8.50	1.98
	2.25	7	1.98	Watch
	2.18	7.35	1.98
	2.15	9.75	2.02
	2.24	7.60	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.75)	7.78 ↑ (7.6)	2 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
41.9%

Draw
11.9%

TBV Lemgo
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

12%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

12.7%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.

TBV Lemgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TBV Lemgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TBV Lemgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stuttgart - TBV Lemgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Lemgo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lemgo holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stuttgart has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 540:575 (averaging 27:28.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stuttgart against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 257:256 goals (averaging 28.6:28.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Stuttgart	8	4	1	3	244:241	9
8	Lemgo	7	4	0	3	216:220	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TVB 1898 Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Handball
01.10.26	Eisenach - Stuttgart	28:33 ✺
German DHB Pokal
24.09.26	Stuttgart - Erlangen	26:29 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
18.09.26	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Stuttgart	28:29 ✺
13.09.26	MT Melsungen - Stuttgart	32:27 ✺
06.09.26	Stuttgart - Füchse Berlin	33:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
01.10.26	TBV Lemgo - HSV Hamburg	34:30 ✺
20.09.26	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	28:33 ✺
10.09.26	TBV Lemgo - Flensburg-Handewitt	30:39 ✺
06.09.26	Bietigheim - TBV Lemgo	29:36 ✺
03.09.26	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
29.03.26	Stuttgart - TBV Lemgo	32:32
12.10.25	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	32:30
27.02.25	Stuttgart - TBV Lemgo	23:26
20.10.24	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	28:24
02.06.24	Stuttgart - TBV Lemgo	29:27
26.10.23	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	31:25
21.05.23	TBV Lemgo - Stuttgart	29:24

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