What is the expert prediction for Bern Muri vs Wacker Thun?

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Bern Muri vs Wacker Thun Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

NLA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Bern Muri		Wacker Thun

	1	X	2
	1.45	8.5	3.3
	1.36	10	3.8
	1.36	8.15	4.07	Watch
	1.36	9	3.75
	1.4	9.8	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	9.09 ↑ (8.5)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bern Muri
65.6%

Draw
10%

Wacker Thun
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

10.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

10.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bern Muri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Wacker Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern Muri than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wacker Thun than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Predictions

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 34:31

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 2.

Recent performances by Bern have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wacker Thun's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bern is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bern won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 586:593. (average 29.3:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bern won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 274:253. (average 30.4:28.1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSV Bern Muri
Swiss NLA Handball
01.04.26	HC Kriens-Luzern - Bern Muri	39:37 ✺
25.03.26	Bern Muri - Kadetten Schaffhausen	24:30 ✺
14.03.26	Handball Stäfa - Bern Muri	23:36 ✺
08.03.26	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - Bern Muri	28:34 ✺
28.02.26	Bern Muri - Suhr Aarau	38:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWW
- Wacker Thun
Swiss NLA Handball
01.04.26	Pfadi Winterthur - Wacker Thun	35:31 ✺
25.03.26	Wacker Thun - HC Kriens-Luzern	31:43 ✺
11.03.26	Wacker Thun - RTV Basel	36:38 ✺
04.03.26	Suhr Aarau - Wacker Thun	31:25 ✺
28.02.26	Handball Stäfa - Wacker Thun	36:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
22.02.26	Wacker Thun - Bern Muri	35:30
25.10.25	Bern Muri - Wacker Thun	33:30
13.09.25	Wacker Thun - Bern Muri	33:27
25.02.25	Bern Muri - Wacker Thun	40:26
23.11.24	Wacker Thun - Bern Muri	30:30
06.10.24	Bern Muri - Wacker Thun	25:28
23.03.24	Bern Muri - Wacker Thun	30:30

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