Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Bidasoa Irun		Atlético Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.35	10	4.5	Watch
	1.38	10	3.6
	1.33	9.56	3.76	Watch
	1.37	10.7	3.85	Watch
	1.35	10	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	10.05 ↑ (9.47)	4.01 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidasoa Irun
67.9%

Draw
9.2%

Atlético Valladolid
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

9.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

9.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Atlético Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bidasoa won 4.

Bidasoa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Valladolid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlético Valladolid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bidasoa is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bidasoa won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 606:559. (average 30.3:28).

Including home matches between the teams, Bidasoa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 280:244. (average 31.1:27.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidasoa Irun
EHF European League
25.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Potaissa Turda	35:30 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.11.25	EÓN Alicante - Bidasoa Irun	32:33 ✺
EHF European League
18.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Saint-Raphael	33:25 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
15.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:32 ✺
EHF European League
11.11.25	Saint-Raphael - Bidasoa Irun	35:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
21.11.25	Atlético Valladolid - BM Granollers	29:26 ✺
15.11.25	Morrazo Cangas - Atlético Valladolid	29:30 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Valladolid - Villa de Aranda	36:30 ✺
24.10.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Atlético Valladolid	31:23 ✺
18.10.25	EÓN Alicante - Atlético Valladolid	25:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.05.25	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	25:25
13.12.24	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	32:27
18.02.24	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	33:35
22.09.23	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	31:27
25.02.23	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	32:37
23.09.22	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	33:28
14.05.22	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	33:26

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