Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 9

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Bidasoa Irun		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	1.55	8.5	3.3	Watch
	1.55	8.6	2.95
	1.52	7.80	3.00	Watch
	1.58	9.7	2.88	Watch
	1.57	9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	8.72 ↑ (7.8)	3.05 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidasoa Irun
59.2%

Draw
10.6%

Naturhouse La Rioja
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

11.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

12.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bidasoa Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bidasoa will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Rioja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bidasoa won 3.

Recent form of Bidasoa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Rioja is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bidasoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bidasoa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bidasoa won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 568:582. (average 28.4:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bidasoa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 290:282. (average 29:28.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidasoa Irun
EHF European League
11.11.25	Saint-Raphael - Bidasoa Irun	35:32 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.11.25	Torrelavega - Bidasoa Irun	32:31 ✺
25.10.25	Bidasoa Irun - Quabit Guadalajara	34:31 ✺
EHF European League
21.10.25	Bidasoa Irun - Flensburg-Handewitt	32:33 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.10.25	Barcelona - Bidasoa Irun	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.11.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	33:29 ✺
26.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:30 ✺
19.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	42:30 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:34 ✺
03.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - EÓN Alicante	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.05.25	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:30
17.12.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Bidasoa Irun	29:31
25.02.24	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	36:25
Spanish Copa de Espana Handball
16.12.23	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:28
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
30.09.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Bidasoa Irun	27:28
02.04.23	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	41:29
22.10.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - Bidasoa Irun	39:33

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