Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten		Mainz

	1	X	2
	3	7.8	1.57
	3.13	7.7	1.54	Watch
	2.99	9.1	1.56
	2.9	8	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	8.15 ↓ (9.52)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buchholz 08-Rosengarten
30.2%

Draw
11.1%

Mainz
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

9.5%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

9.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchholz 08-Rosengarten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchholz 08-Rosengarten than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Buchholz 08 Rosengarten - Mainz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buchholz won 1.

Buchholz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mainz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Buchholz has had a series of away games.

Mainz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Buchholz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 232:252. (average 25.8:28).

Including home matches between the teams, Buchholz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 109:111. (average 27.3:27.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Mainz W	5	5	0	0	166:139	10
9	Rosengarten-Buchholz W	4	1	0	3	111:128	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
01.02.26	Lintfort - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	26:28 ✺
24.01.26	Bergischer - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	23:22 ✺
03.01.26	Nürtingen - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	43:26 ✺
28.12.25	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Leipzig	18:23 ✺
20.12.25	Rödertal - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	34:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
31.01.26	Mainz - Nürtingen	24:36 ✺
24.01.26	Mainz - Leipzig	22:29 ✺
17.01.26	Rödertal - Mainz	26:29 ✺
10.01.26	Mainz - Regensburg	27:29 ✺
03.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	25:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
06.09.25	Mainz - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	30:24
01.02.25	Mainz - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	28:21
14.09.24	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Mainz	23:33
18.05.24	Mainz - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	27:31
06.01.24	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Mainz	24:27
04.03.23	Mainz - Buchholz 08-Rosengarten	31:18
22.10.22	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Mainz	32:26

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