Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Burgos		Alser Puerto Sagunto

	1	X	2
	1.44	9.2	3.4
	1.44	9.3	3.38
	1.48	9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	9.17 ↑ (9)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
62.5%

Draw
9.9%

Alser Puerto Sagunto
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

10.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

10.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Alser Puerto Sagunto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alser Puerto Sagunto than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Puerto Sagunto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Burgos is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 183:170. (average 30.5:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 86:84. (average 28.7:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
19.10.25	Anaitasuna - Burgos	34:29 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos - Alcobendas	33:27 ✺
04.10.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	29:37 ✺
28.09.25	Burgos - Proin	31:29 ✺
20.09.25	OAR Coruña - Burgos	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL
- Alser Puerto Sagunto
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.10.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Cisne	29:22 ✺
11.10.25	Agustinos Alicante - Alser Puerto Sagunto	27:21 ✺
05.10.25	Anaitasuna - Alser Puerto Sagunto	24:27 ✺
27.09.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Alcobendas	29:23 ✺
21.09.25	Zaragoza - Alser Puerto Sagunto	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
15.02.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	19:31
13.10.24	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	26:23
14.05.23	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	26:29
01.04.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	34:31
14.05.22	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	33:35
03.04.22	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	34:32

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