Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Burgos		Barcelona II

	1	X	2
	1.32	11	3.8
	1.31	12.27	3.87	Watch
	1.32	11	4.24
	1.3	11	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	11.32 ↑ (11.14)	3.98 ↑ (3.84)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
69.2%

Draw
8%

Barcelona II
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

8.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.1%

7.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Barcelona II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona II than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Burgos is considered a favorite.

We predict that Burgos will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 328:331. (average 32.8:33.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 159:155. (average 31.8:31).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
06.12.25	Eivissa - Burgos	27:39 ✺
30.11.25	Burgos - Soria	36:28 ✺
22.11.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	26:32 ✺
16.11.25	Burgos - Oviedo	26:17 ✺
08.11.25	Agustinos Alicante - Burgos	36:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Barcelona Handball II
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
05.12.25	Barcelona II - Cisne	33:28 ✺
29.11.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Barcelona II	31:25 ✺
22.11.25	Barcelona II - Anaitasuna	33:29 ✺
15.11.25	Alcobendas - Barcelona II	28:37 ✺
08.11.25	Barcelona II - Zaragoza	36:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
05.04.25	Barcelona II - Burgos	30:30
24.11.24	Burgos - Barcelona II	31:33
27.01.24	Barcelona II - Burgos	30:30
24.09.23	Burgos - Barcelona II	27:27
06.05.23	Barcelona II - Burgos	36:34
26.03.23	Burgos - Barcelona II	33:29
08.05.22	Burgos - Barcelona II	31:34

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