Match Info

HLA - Round 21

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Bärnbach Köflach		Alpla Hard

	1	X	2
	2.45	7.6	1.79
	2.59	7.34	1.74	Watch
	2.38	7.5	1.8
	2.46	8	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2)	7.61 ↑ (7.05)	1.79 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bärnbach Köflach
36.9%

Draw
12%

Alpla Hard
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

12.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

12.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bärnbach Köflach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bärnbach Köflach's form might have worsened.

Alpla Hard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alpla Hard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bärnbach Köflach than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bärnbach Köflach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpla Hard than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alpla Hard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bärnbach Köflach - Alpla Hard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bärnbach Köflach won 0.

Bärnbach Köflach has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alpla Hard is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bärnbach Köflach won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 469:553. (average 24.7:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bärnbach Köflach won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 236:251. (average 26.2:27.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Alpla Hard	5	2	0	3	151:151	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Bärnbach Köflach
Austrian NLA Handball
11.04.26	Füchse - Bärnbach Köflach	26:26 ✺
28.03.26	Hollabrunn - Bärnbach Köflach	36:35 ✺
14.03.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Linz	19:25 ✺
07.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Bärnbach Köflach	36:28 ✺
04.03.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Vöslauer	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Alpla Hard
Austrian NLA Handball
10.04.26	Alpla Hard - Linz	26:24 ✺
27.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Alpla Hard	26:28 ✺
13.03.26	Alpla Hard - Vöslauer	26:30 ✺
07.03.26	Bregenz - Alpla Hard	30:35 ✺
03.03.26	Alpla Hard - HSG Graz	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
21.11.25	Alpla Hard - Bärnbach Köflach	31:31
28.02.25	Alpla Hard - Bärnbach Köflach	34:25
12.10.24	Bärnbach Köflach - Alpla Hard	26:30
28.02.24	Alpla Hard - Bärnbach Köflach	29:25
14.10.23	Bärnbach Köflach - Alpla Hard	30:31
18.03.23	Bärnbach Köflach - Alpla Hard	22:23
28.10.22	Alpla Hard - Bärnbach Köflach	35:19

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