Match Info

Superleague - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	CSKA Moscow		Permskie Medvedi

	1	X	2
	1.31	10.7	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)	10.7 ↑ (9.5)	4.37 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
70.3%

Draw
8.6%

Permskie Medvedi
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

9.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

9.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA Moscow's performance.

Permskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Permskie Medvedi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Permskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Permskie Medvedi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CSKA Moscow - Permskie Medvedi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Preview

First leg result: 30-27.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.

CSKA is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Permskie Medvedi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, CSKA is the team to beat.

We predict that CSKA will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 663:594. (average 33.2:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 351:310. (average 35.1:31).

Outrights of Russian Superleague Handball for now

CSKA Moscow: 14.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	CSKA Moscow	6	6	0	0	195:164	12
3	Perm	7	5	2	0	226:206	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow Handball
Russian Superleague Handball
01.05.26	Permskie Medvedi - CSKA Moscow	27:30 ✺
23.04.26	CSKA Moscow - SKIF-Krasnodar	31:29 ✺
18.04.26	SKIF-Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow	24:29 ✺
11.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - CSKA Moscow	27:35 ✺
26.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Permskie Medvedi	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Permskie Medvedi
Russian Superleague Handball
01.05.26	Permskie Medvedi - CSKA Moscow	27:30 ✺
25.04.26	Permskie Medvedi - Viktor Stavropol	33:28 ✺
20.04.26	Viktor Stavropol - Permskie Medvedi	25:35 ✺
11.04.26	Permskie Medvedi - Kaustik Volgograd	46:38 ✺
26.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Permskie Medvedi	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Superleague Handball
01.05.26	Permskie Medvedi - CSKA Moscow	27:30
26.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Permskie Medvedi	39:32
15.11.25	Permskie Medvedi - CSKA Moscow	33:32
20.04.25	CSKA Moscow - Permskie Medvedi	36:35 penalties
12.04.25	Permskie Medvedi - CSKA Moscow	25:25
03.10.24	Permskie Medvedi - CSKA Moscow	32:35
Russian Super Cup Handball
22.08.24	CSKA Moscow - Permskie Medvedi	35:32

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