Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 3


	CSM Constanța		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	3	8	1.55	Watch
	3.1	9.25	1.55
	4.14	9.28	1.37
	4.1	9.3	1.38
	4	9.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.61)	9.13 ↑ (8)	1.44 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSM Constanța
25.3%

Draw
10.2%

Sporting Lisbon
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

11.6%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

12%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSM Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSM Constanța's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Constanța than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSM Constanța, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

CSM Constanța - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30

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Preview

CSM Constanța is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sporting will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Constanța Handball
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
20.10.23	CSM Constanța - Universitatea Cluj	29:26 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	Tatabanya - CSM Constanța	24:29 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
12.10.23	Bacău - CSM Constanța	26:36 ✺
06.10.23	CSM Constanța - CSM Focșani	30:24 ✺
30.09.23	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM Constanța	26:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL
- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
20.10.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	20:38 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Chrobry Głogów	37:20 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
14.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Colegio de Gaia	46:23 ✺
07.10.23	Póvoa - Sporting Lisbon	23:35 ✺
04.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Belenenses	37:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWW

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