Match Info

Proligue - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Caen		Cherbourg

	1	X	2
	1.54	9.2	2.9
	1.6	7.87	2.9	Watch
	1.53	8.5	2.88
	1.59	9.1	2.88	Watch
	1.5	8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.37)	8.53 ↓ (10.21)	2.94 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
58.5%

Draw
10.6%

Cherbourg
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

8.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

8.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.

Cherbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherbourg than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caen - Cherbourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 3.

Caen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cherbourg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cherbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Caen has had a series of away games.

Caen might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Caen will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 224:223. (average 28:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 110:114. (average 27.5:28.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
12.12.25	Besançon - Caen	32:33 ✺
05.12.25	Massy Essonne - Caen	35:36 ✺
21.11.25	Pau Billère - Caen	38:32 ✺
14.11.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	39:37 ✺
07.11.25	Angers - Caen	32:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- JS Cherbourg
French Proligue Handball
05.12.25	Pau Billère - Cherbourg	31:28 ✺
28.11.25	Cherbourg - Massy Essonne	30:24 ✺
21.11.25	Ivry - Cherbourg	23:32 ✺
14.11.25	Cherbourg - Valence	25:26 ✺
07.11.25	Saintes - Cherbourg	20:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
25.02.25	Cherbourg - Caen	22:30
20.12.24	Caen - Cherbourg	32:25
24.02.24	Cherbourg - Caen	27:24
20.12.23	Caen - Cherbourg	26:32
19.05.23	Cherbourg - Caen	29:31
11.12.22	Caen - Cherbourg	28:28
13.02.22	Caen - Cherbourg	24:29

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