Match Info

Proligue - Round 8

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Caen		Frontignan Thau

	1	X	2
	1.55	8.8	2.9
	1.59	9.7	2.83	Watch
	1.55	8.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)	9 ↓ (10.5)	2.86 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
58.1%

Draw
10.1%

Frontignan Thau
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

8.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

8.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.

Frontignan Thau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frontignan Thau than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Caen - Frontignan Thau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 4.

Caen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Frontignan Thau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Caen might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Caen will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 263:260. (average 32.9:32.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 134:121. (average 33.5:30.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
07.11.25	Angers - Caen	32:36 ✺
24.10.25	Caen - Sarrebourg	42:35 ✺
17.10.25	Ivry - Caen	35:27 ✺
09.10.25	Caen - Valence	37:33 ✺
03.10.25	Saintes - Caen	31:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW
- Frontignan Thau Handball
French Proligue Handball
07.11.25	Frontignan Thau - Creteil	33:32 ✺
24.10.25	Cherbourg - Frontignan Thau	37:36 ✺
17.10.25	Frontignan Thau - Angers	37:31 ✺
10.10.25	Pontault-Combault - Frontignan Thau	32:29 ✺
03.10.25	Frontignan Thau - Saran Loiret	34:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
31.05.25	Frontignan Thau - Caen	32:34
27.05.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	34:21
07.02.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	42:38
04.10.24	Frontignan Thau - Caen	42:35
01.03.24	Caen - Frontignan Thau	31:28
22.09.23	Frontignan Thau - Caen	33:29
17.02.23	Frontignan Thau - Caen	32:31

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