Match Info

Proligue - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Caen		Sarrebourg

	1	X	2
	1.45	9	3.35
	1.33	8.17	4.01	Watch
	1.45	9.7	3.28	Watch
	1.44	8.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)	8.84 ↑ (8.17)	3.49 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
63.8%

Draw
10.2%

Sarrebourg
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

10.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

11.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Sarrebourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrebourg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Caen - Sarrebourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sarrebourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caen is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 231:241. (average 28.9:30.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 125:118. (average 31.3:29.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarrebourg - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 22.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
17.10.25	Ivry - Caen	35:27 ✺
09.10.25	Caen - Valence	37:33 ✺
03.10.25	Saintes - Caen	31:35 ✺
26.09.25	Cournon dAuvergne - Caen	29:28 ✺
19.09.25	Caen - Pontault-Combault	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW
- HC Sarrebourg
French Proligue Handball
18.10.25	Sarrebourg - Cherbourg	23:25 ✺
10.10.25	Cournon dAuvergne - Sarrebourg	29:29 ✺
04.10.25	Sarrebourg - Pau Billère	26:26 ✺
26.09.25	Creteil - Sarrebourg	27:33 ✺
12.09.25	Massy Essonne - Sarrebourg	22:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
29.03.25	Sarrebourg - Caen	37:36
14.09.24	Caen - Sarrebourg	31:25
02.02.24	Sarrebourg - Caen	26:21
27.10.23	Caen - Sarrebourg	29:34
25.02.23	Sarrebourg - Caen	32:24
06.11.22	Caen - Sarrebourg	36:34
05.03.22	Sarrebourg - Caen	28:25

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