Match Info

Proligue - Round 6

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Caen		Valence

	1	X	2
	1.55	9	2.9
	1.40	8.36	3.85	Watch
	1.45	8.5	3.43	Watch
	1.48	9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	8.72 ↓ (8.95)	3.32 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
62.1%

Draw
10.5%

Valence
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

10.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

10.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Valence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Caen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valence than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Caen - Valence Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 63.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Caen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 254:249. (average 31.8:31.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 120:109. (average 30:27.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
03.10.25	Saintes - Caen	31:35 ✺
26.09.25	Cournon dAuvergne - Caen	29:28 ✺
19.09.25	Caen - Pontault-Combault	33:31 ✺
12.09.25	Creteil - Caen	34:32 ✺
06.09.25	Caen - Saran Loiret	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW
- Valence Handball
French Proligue Handball
03.10.25	Valence - Cournon dAuvergne	37:31 ✺
26.09.25	Pontault-Combault - Valence	29:26 ✺
19.09.25	Valence - Pau Billère	32:35 ✺
12.09.25	Angers - Valence	31:43 ✺
05.09.25	Valence - Massy Essonne	37:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
07.03.25	Valence - Caen	37:34
27.09.24	Caen - Valence	34:26
05.04.24	Caen - Valence	32:31
07.10.23	Valence - Caen	32:30
24.03.23	Valence - Caen	28:35
01.12.22	Caen - Valence	26:26
11.03.22	Valence - Caen	43:35

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