Match Info

Proligue - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Palais des Sports Robert Oubron (Créteil)


	Creteil		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.37
	1.92	6.81	2.32	Watch
	1.8	8	2.25
	1.92	8.6	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.13)	7.85 ↑ (6.59)	2.28 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Creteil
48.7%

Draw
11.5%

Caen
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

13.5%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

13.2%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Creteil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Creteil's performance.

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creteil than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Creteil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Creteil - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

First leg.

Creteil has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Creteil won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 117:110. (average 29.3:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Creteil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 57:59. (average 28.5:29.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Creteil	6	4	0	2	187:180	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Creteil Handball
French Proligue Handball
07.05.26	Creteil - Massy Essonne	33:23 ✺
30.04.26	Angers - Creteil	29:34 ✺
18.04.26	Sarrebourg - Creteil	24:23 ✺
14.04.26	Valence - Creteil	36:27 ✺
10.04.26	Creteil - Frontignan Thau	36:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLT
- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
07.05.26	Caen - Cournon dAuvergne	37:36 ✺
01.05.26	Valence - Caen	35:41 ✺
24.04.26	Frontignan Thau - Caen	35:37 ✺
18.04.26	Caen - Pau Billère	30:29 ✺
15.04.26	Saran Loiret - Caen	42:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
27.02.26	Caen - Creteil	31:33
12.09.25	Creteil - Caen	34:32
Club Friendly Hanbdall
12.08.24	Creteil - Caen	23:27
French Proligue Handball
01.03.19	Caen - Creteil	20:27

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