Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Quijote Arena (Ciudad Real)


	Caserio Ciudad Real		Alser Puerto Sagunto

	1	X	2
	1.38	9.24	3.88
	1.39	9.2	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	9.22 ↑ (8.5)	3.82 ↑ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caserio Ciudad Real
66.1%

Draw
9.9%

Alser Puerto Sagunto
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

10.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

10.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caserio Ciudad Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caserio Ciudad Real's performance.

Alser Puerto Sagunto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caserio Ciudad Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alser Puerto Sagunto than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alser Puerto Sagunto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Caserio Ciudad Real is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caserio Ciudad Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 114:122. (average 28.5:30.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caserio Ciudad Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 64:64. (average 32:32).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.05.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - BM Sinfín	35:30 ✺
03.05.25	Proin - Caserio Ciudad Real	27:25 ✺
26.04.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Eivissa	30:26 ✺
16.04.25	EÓN Alicante - Caserio Ciudad Real	30:29 ✺
30.03.25	Burgos - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Alser Puerto Sagunto
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.05.25	Antequera - Alser Puerto Sagunto	31:27 ✺
03.05.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	31:27 ✺
26.04.25	Amenabar Zarautz - Alser Puerto Sagunto	29:30 ✺
12.04.25	Cisne - Alser Puerto Sagunto	31:24 ✺
05.04.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Alcobendas	25:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
25.01.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Alser Puerto Sagunto	35:34
21.09.24	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Caserio Ciudad Real	27:26
10.12.22	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Caserio Ciudad Real	31:24
24.09.22	Caserio Ciudad Real - Alser Puerto Sagunto	29:30

Caserio Ciudad Real - Alser Puerto Sagunto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide