Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Round 25

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Burgos		Caserio Ciudad Real

	1	X	2
	1.86	8.6	2.24
	1.85	8.5	2.25
	1.89	8.2	2.21
	1.86	8.6	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)	8.48 ↑ (8)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
48.7%

Draw
10.7%

Caserio Ciudad Real
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

11.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

10.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Caserio Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Preview

Recent matches Burgos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caserio Ciudad Real is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burgos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caserio Ciudad Real have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 140:145 (average 28:29).

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 60:64 (average 30:32).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
22.03.25	Atlético Novás - Burgos	27:28 ✺
09.03.25	Burgos - Antequera	33:29 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Burgos - BM Ciudad Encantada	29:30 ✺
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.03.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	25:28 ✺
23.02.25	Burgos - Amenabar Zarautz	25:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL
- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
23.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Agustinos Alicante	37:30 ✺
08.03.25	Barcelona II - Caserio Ciudad Real	33:38 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Morrazo Cangas	36:39 ✺
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Cisne	28:23 ✺
23.02.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Novás	28:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
17.11.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Burgos	25:27
21.01.24	Burgos - Caserio Ciudad Real	27:27
17.09.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Burgos	28:26
20.05.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Burgos	28:27
16.04.23	Burgos - Caserio Ciudad Real	33:37

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