Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Caserio Ciudad Real		Atlético Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.9	8	2.35
	2.2	8	1.98
	2	7.6	2.13
	2.09	6.76	2.14	Watch
	2	7.5	2.1
	1.96	8.7	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	7.76 ↓ (8.11)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caserio Ciudad Real
45.3%

Draw
11.8%

Atlético Valladolid
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

11.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

12%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caserio Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Caserio Ciudad Real will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlético Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caserio Ciudad Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:75. (average 36.5:37.5).

Including home match between the teams, Caserio Ciudad Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 43:41.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Atl. Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139:118	8
4	Caserio Ciudad Real	4	3	1	0	134:125	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
24.04.26	EÓN Alicante - Caserio Ciudad Real	26:31 ✺
18.04.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:33 ✺
11.04.26	Torrelavega - Caserio Ciudad Real	35:28 ✺
04.04.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Quabit Guadalajara	34:27 ✺
28.03.26	Barcelona - Caserio Ciudad Real	43:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL
- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.04.26	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	33:36 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	Barcelona II - Atlético Valladolid	29:32 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.26	BM Granollers - Atlético Valladolid	27:23 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Valladolid - Morrazo Cangas	29:23 ✺
05.04.26	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Valladolid	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
07.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Caserio Ciudad Real	34:30
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
19.03.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Valladolid	43:41 OT

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