Match Info

EUROPE: European Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Zlatorog Arena (Celje)


	Celje Pivovarna Laško		Runar

	1	X	2
	1.57	9	2.9
	1.57	9.25	2.8
	1.56	8.8	2.85
	1.59	9.34	2.98	Watch
	1.6	8.5	2.75
	1.57	8.7	2.99
	1.56	8.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)	8.91 ↓ (9.4)	2.87 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje Pivovarna Laško
58%

Draw
10.2%

Runar
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

9.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

9.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje Pivovarna Laško has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje Pivovarna Laško's performance.

Runar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Runar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje Pivovarna Laško than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje Pivovarna Laško that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Runar than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Runar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celje Pivovarna Laško - Runar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


14. Antonijevic V.	21. Aasvestad M.
8. Belej Z.	13. Anders B.
7. Bognar A.	20. Bergli A.
33. Cirovic N.	1. Bjornstad M.
99. Gabersek G.	11. Furu K.
44. Hurtado J.	8. Gram P.
2. Jelen M.	33. Knutsen T.
12. Kozina Z.	17. Lindell M.
35. Makuc A.	5. Okern H.
34. Malovic T.	22. Rivesjo T.
4. Marguc M.	16. Tryggestad S.
6. Mazej T.	44. Wulvik R.
24. Milicevic U.
55. Mlakar Z.
23. Onufriienko O.
3. Peric L.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 28-41.

Recent matches Celje is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Runar in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Runar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Celje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celje Pivovarna Laško
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
28.11.24	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Ribnica	35:27 ✺
EHF European Cup
24.11.24	Runar - Celje Pivovarna Laško	41:28 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
20.11.24	Jeruzalem Ormož - Celje Pivovarna Laško	32:35 ✺
15.11.24	Krško - Celje Pivovarna Laško	32:28 ✺
02.11.24	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Trimo Trebnje	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW
- IL Runar Hanbball
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
27.11.24	Sandnes - Runar	29:30 ✺
EHF European Cup
24.11.24	Runar - Celje Pivovarna Laško	41:28 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
20.11.24	Runar - Fjellhammer	34:22 ✺
17.11.24	Haslum HK - Runar	24:31 ✺
03.11.24	Runar - Baekelaget	32:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup
24.11.24	Runar - Celje Pivovarna Laško	41:28

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