Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Slovenj Gradec		Celje Pivovarna Laško

	1	X	2
	2.9	8	1.6
	2.92	7.78	1.58	Watch
	2.75	8	1.57
	2.84	9.2	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.64)	8.25 ↑ (7.27)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenj Gradec
31.8%

Draw
11%

Celje Pivovarna Laško
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

12.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

12.3%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenj Gradec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Celje Pivovarna Laško has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje Pivovarna Laško than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:34

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Preview

Celje leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovenj Gradec won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Celje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Slovenj Gradec has had a series of away games.

Celje could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Slovenj Gradec won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 430:524. (average 26.9:32.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovenj Gradec won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 200:237. (average 25:29.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Celje	6	4	0	2	206:182	8
7	Slovenj Gradec	6	2	2	2	174:168	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36 ✺
30.04.26	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	36:34 ✺
24.04.26	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	29:34 ✺
Slovenian Cup Handball
18.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Slovenj Gradec	26:27 ✺
17.04.26	Trimo Trebnje - Slovenj Gradec	33:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWL
- Celje Pivovarna Laško
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36 ✺
EHF European Cup
02.05.26	Ohrid - Celje Pivovarna Laško	29:27 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
29.04.26	Trimo Trebnje - Celje Pivovarna Laško	39:38 ✺
EHF European Cup
25.04.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Ohrid	27:26 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
22.04.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Krka	35:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36
06.12.25	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	37:36
20.09.25	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	26:26
11.04.25	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	27:27
15.02.25	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	23:26
16.10.24	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	33:27
30.03.24	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	32:34

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