Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Cisne		Nava

	1	X	2
	2.7	7.5	1.78
	2.55	8.5	1.75
	2.5	8	1.83
	2.55	8.2	1.76
	2.62	7.5	1.73
	2.67	8.2	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.08)	7.98 ↑ (7.97)	1.77 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cisne
35.8%

Draw
11.6%

Nava
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

11.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

10.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cisne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cisne's form might have worsened.

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cisne than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cisne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nava than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	2.9%	97.1%

Cisne - Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Nava will win (33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:26

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Recently Cisne have a series of guest games.

Recently Nava have a series of home games.

Nava will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cisne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 182-205.

Including matches at home between the teams Cisne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 108-111.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Cisne BM
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
28.11.20	BM Sinfín - Cisne	24:24 ✺
25.11.20	Quabit Guadalajara - Cisne	37:21 ✺
21.11.20	Benidorm - Cisne	34:25 ✺
18.11.20	Naturhouse La Rioja - Cisne	34:23 ✺
14.11.20	Cisne - Bidasoa Irun	21:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL
- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
28.11.20	Morrazo Cangas - Nava	21:19 ✺
25.11.20	Nava - BM Huesca	23:28 ✺
22.11.20	Nava - Reale Ademar	19:27 ✺
18.11.20	Nava - Benidorm	25:27 ✺
11.11.20	Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.05.19	Nava - Cisne	32:24
19.01.19	Cisne - Nava	29:37
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
29.09.18	Cisne - Nava	25:31
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
12.05.18	Cisne - Nava	24:25
13.01.18	Nava - Cisne	30:23
22.04.17	Nava - Cisne	32:27
07.12.16	Cisne - Nava	30:18

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