The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nava 44.3%
Draw 11.5%
BM Ciudad Encantada 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.2%
11.3%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
12%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
BM Ciudad Encantada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nava than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BM Ciudad Encantada than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Ciudad Encantada will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32
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Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14th in the Division de Honor Plata (Relegation) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nava won 3.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Ciudad Encantada could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Nava has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 339:346 (averaging 28.3:28.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nava against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 176:183 goals (averaging 29.3:30.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
12
Cuenca
7
1
2
4
223:245
4
14
Nava
7
1
1
5
208:251
3
Last Results with these Odds
BM Ciudad Encantada - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.