Match Info

Baltic League

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Dobeles Tenax		Mistra

	1	X	2
	1.95	9	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.4)	9 (9)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 13.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dobeles Tenax
45.1%

Draw
9.8%

Mistra
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

10%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

9.9%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dobeles Tenax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dobeles Tenax's performance.

Mistra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mistra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dobeles Tenax than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dobeles Tenax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mistra than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mistra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mistra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dobeles Tenax has had a series of away games.

Recently, Mistra has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dobeles Tenax won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 115:103. (average 28.8:25.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dobeles Tenax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:48. (average 31:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dobeles Tenax
Baltic League Handball
24.01.26	Dobeles Tenax - Riihimäki Cocks	37:31 ✺
18.01.26	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Dobeles Tenax	29:31 ✺
17.01.26	Šviesa - Dobeles Tenax	32:30 ✺
14.12.25	Viljandi - Dobeles Tenax	30:33 ✺
13.12.25	Pölva Serviti - Dobeles Tenax	37:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL
- Mistra Handball
Baltic League Handball
24.01.26	ASK MSG - Mistra	23:27 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
18.01.26	Mistra - Pölva Serviti	22:32 ✺
17.01.26	Mistra - Viljandi	22:24 ✺
14.01.26	Mistra - Kehra	31:29 ✺
Baltic League Handball
20.12.25	Mistra - Riihimäki Cocks	24:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Baltic League Handball
09.11.25	Mistra - Dobeles Tenax	31:31
25.02.24	Dobeles Tenax - Mistra	27:18
08.10.23	Mistra - Dobeles Tenax	24:22
06.02.22	Dobeles Tenax - Mistra	35:30

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