Match Info

Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Mistra		Viljandi

	1	X	2
	1.7	8	2.65
				Watch
	1.67	8	2.5
	1.7	8.6	2.63
	1.67	8.2	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	8.2 (8.2)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mistra
54%

Draw
11.1%

Viljandi
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

11.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mistra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Viljandi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mistra - Viljandi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24

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Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mistra won 3.

Mistra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Mistra has had a series of home games.

Mistra could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Mistra will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mistra won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 495:500. (average 24.8:25).

Including home matches between the teams, Mistra won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 305:299. (average 25.4:24.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Viljandi	3	3	0	0	87:78	6
4	Mistra	2	1	0	1	52:50	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mistra Handball
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
22.04.26	Mistra - Viljandi	23:22 ✺
16.04.26	Mistra - Viljandi	28:20 ✺
Baltic League Handball
12.04.26	Mistra - Šviesa	27:28 ✺
11.04.26	Klaipeda Dragunas - Mistra	32:34 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
08.04.26	Mistra - Viimsi	35:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW
- Viljandi HC
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
22.04.26	Mistra - Viljandi	23:22 ✺
16.04.26	Mistra - Viljandi	28:20 ✺
08.04.26	Pölva Serviti - Viljandi	39:25 ✺
11.03.26	Kehra - Viljandi	23:22 ✺
Baltic League Handball
22.02.26	Dobeles Tenax - Viljandi	36:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
22.04.26	Mistra - Viljandi	23:22
16.04.26	Mistra - Viljandi	28:20
03.02.26	Mistra - Viljandi	28:20
17.01.26	Mistra - Viljandi	22:24
26.04.25	Mistra - Viljandi	26:32
23.04.25	Viljandi - Mistra	30:26
20.04.25	Mistra - Viljandi	24:30

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