Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	EHV Aue		Ferndorf

	1	X	2
	1.4	10	3.8
	1.37	9	3.7
	1.35	8.4	3.7
	1.4	9	3.6
	1.42	7.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	8.86 ↑ (8.5)	3.76 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHV Aue
65.5%

Draw
10.3%

Ferndorf
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

10.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

9.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHV Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHV Aue than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EHV Aue that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

EHV Aue - Ferndorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25

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Preview

Aue has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferndorf is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aue is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aue won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 247-238.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 143-130.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHV Aue
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
30.10.21	HSC 2000 Coburg - EHV Aue	32:23 ✺
27.10.21	EHV Aue - DJK Rimpar	30:34 ✺
22.10.21	Bietigheim - EHV Aue	33:30 ✺
16.10.21	EHV Aue - Elbflorenz	26:26 ✺
10.10.21	Nordhorn-Lingen - EHV Aue	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
30.10.21	Ferndorf - Hamm-Westfalen	24:28 ✺
27.10.21	TUSEM Essen - Ferndorf	30:23 ✺
23.10.21	Ferndorf - Großwallstadt	29:29 ✺
16.10.21	Empor Rostock - Ferndorf	25:20 ✺
09.10.21	Ferndorf - Dessau-Roßlauer	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
28.02.21	EHV Aue - Ferndorf	26:26
10.10.20	Ferndorf - EHV Aue	23:26
08.02.20	EHV Aue - Ferndorf	31:32
07.09.19	Ferndorf - EHV Aue	26:22
04.05.19	Ferndorf - EHV Aue	28:29
17.11.18	EHV Aue - Ferndorf	34:25
01.04.17	Ferndorf - EHV Aue	31:27

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