Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	TUSEM Essen		Ferndorf

	1	X	2
	1.74	7.6	2.55
	1.69	7.41	2.68	Watch
	1.73	7.5	2.5
	1.7	7.3	2.68
	1.61	8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)	7.56 ↓ (8.41)	2.63 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TUSEM Essen
53.5%

Draw
12%

Ferndorf
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

10.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

10.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TUSEM Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TUSEM Essen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TUSEM Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

TUSEM Essen - Ferndorf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Ferndorf (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferndorf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TUSEM Essen won 3.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

TUSEM Essen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, TUSEM Essen won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 353:321. (average 29.4:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, TUSEM Essen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 210:184. (average 30:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TUSEM Essen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
20.12.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - TUSEM Essen	36:28 ✺
12.12.25	TUSEM Essen - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	33:33 ✺
07.12.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - TUSEM Essen	32:25 ✺
28.11.25	TUSEM Essen - Lübeck-Schwartau	28:30 ✺
22.11.25	Elbflorenz - TUSEM Essen	41:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LTLLL
- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
21.12.25	Ferndorf - Hüttenberg	23:24 ✺
13.12.25	Ferndorf - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	30:31 ✺
05.12.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - Ferndorf	32:28 ✺
28.11.25	Ferndorf - HSC 2000 Coburg	22:25 ✺
21.11.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Ferndorf	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
15.02.25	Ferndorf - TUSEM Essen	34:30
13.09.24	TUSEM Essen - Ferndorf	28:23
30.03.22	Ferndorf - TUSEM Essen	30:32
27.10.21	TUSEM Essen - Ferndorf	30:23
Club Friendly Hanbdall
03.09.21	TUSEM Essen - Ferndorf	28:31
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
01.02.20	Ferndorf - TUSEM Essen	26:26
30.08.19	TUSEM Essen - Ferndorf	35:22

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