Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Nuremberg Arena (Nuremberg)


	Erlangen		Bietigheim

	1	X	2
	1.78	7.5	2.8
	1.8	7.25	2.75
	1.71	7.2	2.65
	1.76	7.31	2.75
	1.7	7.5	2.7
	1.7	8	2.76
	1.71	7.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	7.42 ↑ (7.27)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlangen
53.4%

Draw
12.5%

Bietigheim
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

12.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

13.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Bietigheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bietigheim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Erlangen - Bietigheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Erlangen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bietigheim will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Lineups


25. Bezjak M.	12. Baranasic F.
21. Bissel C.	20. Barthe P.
20. Budel N.	13. De La Pena J.
77. Gebala M.	36. Fischer J.
96. Ghedbane K.	16. Genz F.
95. Gommel T.	64. Hejny M.
33. Link N.	41. Hermann T.
27. Metzner A.	5. Kuhn J.
6. Nissen M.	14. Nicolaus F.
67. Olsson H.	19. Perez G.
8. Overjordet S.	31. Pfeifer A.
1. Quenstedt D.	94. Rebmann D.
10. Scheerer F.	29. Strosack M.
4. Seitz S.	3. Vlahovic N.
28. Svensson J.	18. Wiederstein F.
55. Wagner T.	10. Wolf T.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erlangen won 5.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Erlangen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Erlangen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 201:164 (average 28.7:23.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Erlangen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 85:69 (average 28.3:23).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
29.11.24	Erlangen - Frisch Auf Göppingen	28:24 ✺
24.11.24	HSV Hamburg - Erlangen	28:27 ✺
17.11.24	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	22:25 ✺
02.11.24	MT Melsungen - Erlangen	32:27 ✺
25.10.24	Erlangen - THW Kiel	28:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- SG BBM Bietigheim
German Bundesliga Handball
01.12.24	Magdeburg - Bietigheim	35:26 ✺
21.11.24	Bietigheim - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:29 ✺
16.11.24	Bietigheim - Hannover-Burgdorf	28:28 ✺
31.10.24	HSG Wetzlar - Bietigheim	21:26 ✺
27.10.24	Bietigheim - Füchse Berlin	24:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
16.05.19	Erlangen - Bietigheim	27:25
06.12.18	Bietigheim - Erlangen	24:26
German DHB Pokal
19.08.18	Erlangen - Bietigheim	34:20
20.08.17	Bietigheim - Erlangen	19:33
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
05.03.16	Bietigheim - Erlangen	28:31
German Bundesliga Handball
24.05.15	Bietigheim - Erlangen	24:26
05.12.14	Erlangen - Bietigheim	24:24

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