Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	MT Melsungen		Erlangen

	1	X	2
	1.37	9	4.5
	1.36	11	4.25
	1.38	9.8	3.65
	1.30	7.86	5.22	Watch
	1.39	10.7	3.81	Watch
	1.32	9.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.29)	9.64 ↑ (9.5)	4.41 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MT Melsungen
69.1%

Draw
9.7%

Erlangen
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

9.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

MT Melsungen - Erlangen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 55.5 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 4.

Recent performances by Melsungen have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melsungen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melsungen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melsungen is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 599:539. (average 30:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Melsungen won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 314:255. (average 31.4:25.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
07.09.25	Eisenach - MT Melsungen	27:29 ✺
04.09.25	Gummersbach - MT Melsungen	29:28 ✺
29.08.25	MT Melsungen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	27:29 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.25	EÓN Alicante - MT Melsungen	21:34 ✺
09.08.25	HSG Wetzlar - MT Melsungen	25:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW
- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
06.09.25	Erlangen - Frisch Auf Göppingen	28:29 ✺
03.09.25	Bergischer - Erlangen	29:33 ✺
28.08.25	Erlangen - THW Kiel	29:31 ✺
08.06.25	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	21:25 ✺
01.06.25	Bietigheim - Erlangen	23:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
26.04.25	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	25:31
02.11.24	MT Melsungen - Erlangen	32:27
01.05.24	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	31:31
16.10.23	MT Melsungen - Erlangen	32:25
20.04.23	MT Melsungen - Erlangen	31:18
German DHB Pokal
19.10.22	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	30:34
German Bundesliga Handball
25.09.22	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	34:34

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